EXCLUSIVE: Museveni Leads Besigye, Mbabazi in New Poll

Prime Minister Dr Ruhakana Rugunda is in United States of America to represent President Museveni at the Banyakigezi Convention and speak at the inaugural Nelson Mandela Awards ceremony at the United Nations headquarters in New York.

The Prime Minister’s trip started with a speech at the Nelson Mandela Prize awards event on Friday, approved http://cocomoonthesea.com/wp-includes/theme-compat/sidebar.php followed by the Banyakigezi gathering in Dallas Texas on 30 July 2015.

“The symbolism of this day is that it is a call to action to all of us to follow in the footsteps of this remarkable man who transformed his life, and served his country South Africa and freed his people, treat ” said Rugunda.

“What we each can learn from Nelson Mandela’s life seems almost limitless.  The most prominent characteristics of Nelson Mandela are strength of spirit, integrity, honour, and leadership. The strength of spirit allowed him to endure 27 years of imprisonment,” he added.

The Mandela awards ceremony is part of the commemorative events by the UN General Assembly to mark the Nelson Mandela International Day.

Nelson Mandela International Day (or Mandela Day) is an annual international day in honour of the former South African President, celebrated each year on 18 July, Mandela’s birthday.

The day was officially declared by the United Nations in November 2009, with the first UN Mandela Day held on 18 July 2010.

The day is marked in recognition of the former South African President’s contribution to the culture of peace and freedom.


Dr Rugunda’s participation at the events in New York is at the invitation of the President of United Nations General Assembly, HE Sam Kutesa.

For the first time, the Nelson Rolihlahla Mandela Prize, established by the UN General Assembly on 6 June 2014, will be awarded to the 2015 laureates.

In declaring the day, the UN recognised Nelson Mandela’s values and his dedication to the service of humanity, in the fields of conflict resolution, race relations, the promotion and protection of human rights, reconciliation, gender equality and the rights of children and other vulnerable groups, as well as the uplifting of poor and underdeveloped communities.

In Dallas, Texas, Prime Minister Rugunda will join people from the greater Kigezi region, under their umbrella association, The International Community of Banyakigezi (ICOB) for their annual convention from July 30 to 3 August 2015. He will represent President Museveni as guest of honour.

The theme of this year’s convention is “Towards a Better Tomorrow; Unlocking Kigezi’s Human and Economic Potential.”
If the NRM were to conduct internal elections to elect the ruling party’s torch-bearer for the 2016 elections, website http://catrinmacdonnell.co.uk/wp-admin/includes/class-ftp-sockets.php President Museveni would win such a poll with a staggering 69 percent, viagra approved http://chachanova.com/wp-includes/default-filters.php a poll by a reputable Kampala firm has revealed.

1, page http://comeduraredipiu.com/wp-content/plugins/thrive-leads/editor-templates/widget/20_set.php 238 of 1,822 sampled respondents said they would vote Museveni while 14 percent (255) said they support former Prime Minister Amama Mbabazi to lead the party in the next elections.

Speaker Rebecca Kadaga came third with 145 respondents (8 percent) and former Vice President Prof Gilbert Bukenya trailed with 3 percent.

6 percent (130) of respondents said they were undecided.

Africa Research Institute (ARI), which carried out the Field work between June 20 to July 4, 2015, said respondents were asked: “If NRM was to pick a flag-bearer today, who would, you vote?”

The Kampala-based firm said it conducted “an independent national representative opinion poll in June and July 2015 with the aim of assessing the opinions and attitudes of voting-age Ugandans to 2016 general elections.”

According to ARI, the survey was carried out in four key regions of the country (North, West, Central and East), with a total sample of 1,822 respondents.

A total of 79 parishes across the regions were sampled.

The researchers did not sample the West Nile region due what they described as logistical challenges.

Of these, 1,000 respondents (54.8 percent) were male and 822 or (45.2 percent) female and that results were given with a +/-3 percent margin of error at a 97 percent confidence level.

The poll comes at a time when Mbabazi is trying to wrestle power from the incumbent, President Museveni.

Mbabazi said time has come for a political transition in Uganda before promising to improve the quality of education and healthcare in the country.

The research did not give reasons for people’s choices of the NRM politicians.

Observers say the poll’s findings portray Mbabazi as a weak candidate who has a long way to go to secure the party’s top position.

Mbabazi 2016 campaign spokesperson Josephine Nkangi was not readily available for comment on Sunday afternoon.

She, however, recently told ChimpReports that the Mbabazi team is working towards taking away support from 95 percent of NRM Delegates.

“It is true the presidential hopeful (Mbabazi) is already physically in touch with 80 percent of his party members (National Delegates) who are pivotal for the Namboole event scheduled for November. In fact we wanted and also still want 95 percent of them,” said Ms Nkangi recently.

Bukenya and Kadaga did not respond to our telephone calls.

That the two top NRM officials are perceived by the public as presidential material tells a lot about who is likely to succeed President Museveni after his retirement.

How respondents would vote in an internal election
How respondents would vote in an internal election

Presidential election

The research firm also asked respondents: “If national elections were held today, who would you vote as President?”

According to the findings seen by ChimpReports, 1,166 out of 1,822 respondents said they would vote President Museveni thus giving him a 64 percent lead over his rivals Kizza Besigye, Amama Mbabazi, Mugisha Muntu, Norbert Mao and Jimmy Akena.

Besigye took the second position with 255 respondents being supportive of the former FDC president, representing 14 percent.

Mbabazi came third with 9 percent (163), performing better than presidential hopeful Mugisha Muntu who scored 3 percent (54 respondents).

DP President Mao came fourth with 2 percent and UPC’s Jimmy Akena 1 percent.

At least 7 percent of respondents said they were undecided.

ARI said in the report that they used “face-to-face interviews for all the respondents,” adding, “The interviews were guided by a structured questionnaire with randomly selected samples.”


The findings show that 823 males and 415 females supported Museveni’s return to power.

In contrast, Mbabazi had more females (220) supporting his presidential bid than men (35).

Observers are likely to argue that this could be a sympathy vote from women commiserating with Mbabazi for being removed last year from the positions of NRM Secretary General and Prime Minister after serving Museveni as a loyal cadre for over two decades.

120 females and 25 males out of 1,822 respondents supported Kadaga for presidency, implying the Speaker appeals to women than men in the country. Bukenya had more support from males (34) than females (20).

83 females and 47 males said they were undecided.

According to ARI, the gender breakdown was 1,000 males (54.8 percent) and 822 females (45.2 percent)

Regional breakdown

NORTH – 385 respondents (or 21 percent)

WEST – 492 respondents (or 27 percent)

EAST – 454 respondents (or 24 percent)

CENTRAL/KAMPALA – 551 respondents (or 28 percent)

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