South Sudan

Cost Of War: South Sudan to Lose USD28bn

Saturday April 4, find 2015

URA FC (Uganda) Vs Orlando Pirates (South Africa) – Agg: 1-2

Return leg, view CAF Confederations Cup First Round

The South African side Orlando Pirates will jet in tomorrow 02nd April 2015 at 19h05 (07:05pm) aboard South African Airways,  SAA 160 for their must-win Caf Confederations Cup return leg against  Uganda Revenue Authority on Saturday.

Trailing 2-1 from the first leg in South Africa, URA need to beat Pirates by a goal-to-nil to progress to the second round.

The South Africans will have training on Friday at Mandela National Stadium, Namboole at 04:00pm.

URA injury ridden

Coach Alex Isabirye faces the opponents without four of his first team players.


Add lead marksman Robert Ssentongo, who is serving his second match ban plus five would-be starters in the club’s biggest game of the season still yet to pass late fitness tests. Strikers Frank Kalanda and Peter Lwasa are all huge doubts, with only the former standing a 50-50 chance.

Kalanda is down with malaria since Sunday while Lwasa’s bad ankle rules him out, according to Isabirye. Midfielder Oscar Agaba’s hamstring and defender Deo Othieno’s bad knee are also almost certain to rule the two out.
The South Sudan war that started in December 2013 between President Salva Kiir and his former deputy, this site Dr. Riek Machar is expected to cost the world`s youngest nation a staggering USD 28bn.

According report launched in capital Juba on Tuesday by the London based economics consultant body, Frontier Economics, Center for Conflict Resolution Uganda and Center for Peace and Development Studies at the University of Juba detailed the prospected cost of South Sudan war to the country, region and the international community.

South Sudan which is one of the poorest countries in the world with a total Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of USD 25bn largely surviving on oil exports, is currently facing both micro and macro-economic hardships as inflation worsens, local currency South Sudan Pounds drastically weakens against the dollar, with Foreign Exchange reserve reportedly getting depleted.

“If the South Sudan conflict continues for another 1 to 5 years, it will cost South Sudan between US$22.3 billion and $28 billion. If the conflict’s effects are measured over 20 years to allow for flow-on effects, the loss is even greater: between $122 billion and $158 billion.” Part of the report says.

Meanwhile an extra USD 6bn shall be incurred internally on human cost of the conflict that has displaced and rendered unproductive close to two million of the 12 million total population, internally and over half a million to the neighboring countries including Uganda, Ethiopia, Kenya and Sudan.

“The human costs of conflict – death, hunger and disease – also have significant longer term economic impacts. Just taking the effects of hunger on labor productivity could mean a further $6 billion in lost GDP if the conflict were to last another 5 years.” The report added.

The spending on security by the government to contain the conflict has currently tripled the budget of the office of the president which handles the docket from SSP 201.3m to SSP 680m.

“South Sudan’s spending on security could increase by a further $2.2 billion were the conflict to last another 5 years. The savings in military spending that would result from resolving the conflict within a year from now would allow South Sudan to meet the internationally recommended target of allocating 20% of spending to education.”

The effort to peacefully resolve the war has been going on in the neighboring Ethiopian capital Addis Ababa mediated by the regional body IGAD.

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